Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.941734 1.153999 1.381455 1.641177 1.927490 2.231615 2.577251
2024-10-20 0.623036 0.897884 1.217905 1.608739 2.064716 2.572455 3.173471
2024-10-27 0.531676 0.851436 1.243319 1.740518 2.338273 3.019809 3.842424
2024-11-03 0.455435 0.807528 1.260023 1.853570 2.585293 3.435650 4.477861
2024-11-10 0.398826 0.776089 1.281614 1.963410 2.821053 3.832726 5.087253
2024-11-17 0.353002 0.750890 1.305032 2.070952 3.051176 4.221949 5.687800
2024-11-24 0.295614 0.698150 1.283791 2.114980 3.198136 4.508502 6.165148
2024-12-01 0.237530 0.633425 1.238061 2.120575 3.292084 4.727609 6.559954
2024-12-08 0.173694 0.545079 1.148332 2.058810 3.293528 4.828516 6.808739
2024-12-15 0.123284 0.467447 1.065172 1.998510 3.290923 4.919912 7.042430
2024-12-22 0.088572 0.410072 1.006275 1.966689 3.321336 5.049190 7.319661
2024-12-29 0.069648 0.381806 0.991376 1.996329 3.432780 5.280476 7.722854
2025-01-05 0.048395 0.341388 0.955692 1.999343 3.516335 5.488111 8.113497
2025-01-12 0.029144 0.294200 0.902132 1.971981 3.556848 5.640841 8.437790
2025-01-19 0.027730 0.306466 0.959196 2.116819 3.838727 6.108495 9.159878
2025-01-26 0.025108 0.312967 1.005146 2.244665 4.097722 6.547768 9.848280
2025-02-02 0.022387 0.317723 1.047446 2.366937 4.349460 6.978524 10.527356
2025-02-09 0.019811 0.321778 1.088159 2.486955 4.598712 7.407106 11.205258
2025-02-16 0.013930 0.305057 1.085329 2.535887 4.746176 7.701667 11.713392
2025-02-23 0.007862 0.277818 1.057532 2.542130 4.831132 7.912940 12.115274
2025-03-02 0.002341 0.233674 0.987021 2.473391 4.804511 7.973778 12.323255
2025-03-09 0.000203 0.194677 0.920406 2.406206 4.776544 8.030173 12.523434
2025-03-16 NaN 0.166965 0.874569 2.370713 4.792124 8.142358 12.792817